Thoughts on this weekends odds: Estudiantes are a great side as we have seen in the Apertura and this season too, where despite their Continental commitments they’ve still managed to be top of the Clausura table despite a few surprising results. Since returning to La Plata from their temporary home in Quilmes, El Pincha have surprisingly lost 2 of their 4 home games in domestic competition. San Lorenzo are really in the mix, they strengthened very well over January and are just 2 points off top with a game in hand albeit a tough one against Velez. 1.8 seems too skinny for an Estudiantes win and DNB San Lorenzo is a huge 3.40 and would be my advice.
Independiente seem to have turned a corner, they’re unbeaten in 6, their last defeat coming at home to Godoy Cruz in the Libertadores 3 weeks back. So in a repeat fixture, one would have to fancy the Mendoza side to repeat this feat. They’re 3rd in the league, unbeaten in 4 and in 2 games against Independiente in March they have taken 4 points. Given all this, 3.1 is too generous for the away side.
Colon are a decent side but only consistent in their inconsistency. They’ve won their lost 3 on the road but lost their last 3 at home. Olimpo were top of the Clausura table until they lost their last two games. This seems to have heavily affected the price as 4.00 is huge for them to win this game given Colon’s home form and the fact that Olimpo’s two recent defeats have been against good opposition, the straight win, DNB or Double chance Olimpo is your bet.
Arsenal really aren’t great but winless Quilmes are a truly pathetic entity who are already doomed and have been for some time. 1.7 just about represents value. Huracan host Racing in a tough encounter to call, whilst I’d favour Racing, who were flying until losing their last 3 games, they would still appear to have too much class for Huracan. The price is not enticing in the slightest though, I’ll be leaving this alone.
River host Banfield and are playing some superb football. Los Millionarios are joint top on points, Banfield have dropped to midtable following 3 without a win. At home, on their current form, you’d have to fancy River and 1.83 is just juicy enough to be worth it.
Argentinos are the only unbeaten side, Gimnasia are in the automatic relegation places, Argentine football is never straightforward enough for us to be able to say the home side will prevail but 1.8 isn’t a bad price.
Tigre at home to All Boys. Pretty straightforward here, All Boys are shite and Tigre are a good side, with one of the most prolific strikers of the 2010/11 season in Stracqularsi. 2.00 is delectable.
Similarly, Velez to beat Newell’s. I won’t wade through the stats, Velez far too strong. 1.66 skinny but will be fine in any multiple.
In the final fixture between Lanus and Boca, we have an intriguing clash. I like this Lanus side, Valeri, Camoranesi, Regueiro are all top players that have been to Europe and have class and, crucially, experience. Boca have revived the corpse of their early season form with 2 consecutive wins, including a real toughie against Estudiantes. I think this has draw written all over it though. 3.1 is your price.